Table 2

Rates and LRs of RA patients achieving a good functional outcome (HAQ ≤0.5) and/or no radiographic progression (ΔmTSS) at 1 year, according to different remission criteria*

Criteria fulfilledHAQ ≤0.5No increase in mTSSCombined variables
NoYesLR+ (range)LR− (range)NoYesLR+ (range)LR− (range)NoYesLR+ (range)LR− (range)
Early RA
 Boolean1.043.385.96.19 (4.0–9.5)0.78 (0.7–0.8)65.678.51.76 (1.2–2.5)0.92 (0.9–1.0)31.767.53.54 (2.6–4.8)0.79 (0.7–0.8)
 Boolean2.041.580.64.23 (3.1–5.7)0.72 (0.7–0.8)64.479.31.85 (1.4–2.4)0.87 (0.8–0.9)29.665.23.19 (2.5–4.1)0.72 (0.7–0.8)
 BooleanX40.574.12.76 (2.3–3.3)0.58 (0.5–0.7)63.179.51.86 (1.4–2.4)0.82 (0.8–0.9)28.460.32.59 (2.1–3.2)0.67 (0.6–0.7)
 SDAI41.483.33.88 (3.1–4.9)0.61 (0.5–0.7)64.679.21.83 (1.2–2.5)0.88 (0.8–0.9)29.766.73.41 (2.6–4.4)0.72 (0.7–0.8)
 CDAI41.683.74.25 (3.4–5.4)0.60 (0.5–0.7)64.878.91.81 (1.3–2.5)0.89 (0.8–0.9)29.9673.46 (2.7–4.5)0.73 (0.7–0.8)
Established RA
 Boolean1.029.272.55.86 (3.0–11.6)0.92 (0.9–1.0)32.637.51.23 (0.7–2.3)0.99 (0.9–1.0)12.122.52.02 (1.0–4.1)0.96 (0.9–1.0)
 Boolean2.028.768.44.19 (2.5–7.0)0.85 (0.8–0.9)32.440.41.38 (0.8–2.3)0.98 (0.9–1.0)11.824.62.27 (1.3–4.0)0.93 (0.9–1.0)
 BooleanX28.157.92.42 (1.6–3.8)0.86 (0.8–1.0)31.346.31.76 (1.2–2.6)0.93 (0.9–1.0)11.621.11.86 (1.2–2.9)0.91 (0.8–1.0)
 SDAI2971.74.84 (2.7–8.5)0.86 (0.8–0.9)32.6371.2 (0.7–2.1)0.99 (0.9–1.0)1223.92.19 (1.1–4.2)0.95 (0.9–1.0)
 CDAI28.776.14.84 (2.7–8.5)0.86 (0.8–0.9)32.6371.2 (0.7–2.1)0.99 (0.9–1.0)11.828.32.74 (1.5–5.1)0.93 (0.9–1.0)
  • *Positive LR (LR+) and negative LRs (LR−) for reaching the respective outcome at 12 months if remission is achieved at 6 months are shown.

  • CDAI, Clinical Disease Activity Index; HAQ, Health Assessment Questionnaire; LRs, likelihood ratios; RA, rheumatoid arthritis; SDAI, Simplified Disease Activity Index; ΔmTSS, change in modified Sharp/van der Heijde score.