Table 3

Results of the Delphi exercise for agreement about whether the proposed gout disease states are meaningful*

Disease states represented by disease element clustersDelphi exercise
Consensus achieved† (round)Agreement (%)
Pre-clinical statesHyperuricaemia‡ without clinical disease elements§ of goutYes (1)84%
Imaging evidence of MSU¶ crystal deposition without clinical disease elements§ of goutYes (1)89%
Hyperuricaemia† with imaging evidence of MSU¶ crystal deposition without clinical disease elements§ of goutYes (1)86%
Clinical statesPresence of MSU¶ crystals with clinical disease elements§ of goutYes (1)97%
Presence of MSU¶ crystals with any of the following: frequent recurrent gout flares, chronic gouty arthritis, subcutaneous tophi or imaging disease elements** of goutYes (1)93%
Presence of MSU¶ crystals with subcutaneous tophiYes (1)89%
Chronic gouty arthritis with at least one subcutaneous tophusNo74% after round 3
Presence of MSU¶ crystals with any of the following: gout flare, chronic gouty arthritis; without subcutaneous tophiNo74% after round 3
Presence of MSU¶ crystals with clinical disease elements§ of gout and with at least one gouty bone erosionYes (1)85%
Disease course statesThe first episode of gout flare without preceding intercritical goutYes (1)92%
More than one episode of gout flare with intercritical goutYes (1)88%
Presence of MSU¶ crystals with clinical disease elements§ of gout and early in the course of disease natural historyNo67% after round 3
Presence of MSU crystals with clinical disease elements§ of gout and late in the course of disease natural historyNo69% after round 3
  • *‘Meaningful’ defined as ‘having important implications for disease management and/or prognosis’.

  • †Consensus defined as ≥80% agreement on preferred label.

  • ‡In British English, hyperuricaemia.

  • §Clinical disease elements: gout flare, intercritical gout, chronic gouty arthritis, subcutaneous tophus.

  • ¶Imaging disease elements: imaging evidence of MSU crystal deposition, gouty bone erosion.

  • MSU, monosodium urate.