Table 3

Confounding and modifying effects of systemic lupus erythematosus risk in statin users versus non-statin users

Adjusted HR (95% CI)*
SLE (n)IR†Past statin useRecent statin useCurrent statin useCurrent statin use≤1 yearCurrent statin use>1 year
By age, years
 40–601090.71.44 (0.65 to 3.18)2.23 (0.98 to 5.03)1.07 (0.61 to 1.88)1.35 (0.68 to 2.69)0.92 (0.49 to 1.73)
 61–801370.71.12 (0.58 to 2.16)0.69 (0.29 to 1.60)0.51 (0.31 to 0.82)0.75 (0.41 to 1.38)0.40 (0.23 to 0.69)
 >80110.32.37 (0.22 to 24.73)4.22 (0.56 to 31.80)1.46 (0.29 to 7.53)1.48 (0.23 to 9.31)1.46 (0.21 to 9.99)
By sex
 Women2021.01.36 (0.79 to 2.33)1.52 (0.82 to 2.82)0.73 (0.49 to 1.10)1.02 (0.62 to 1.68)0.59 (0.38 to 0.94)
 Men550.31.01 (0.28 to 3.62)0.73 (0.19 to 2.86)0.79 (0.37 to 1.73)0.94 (0.37 to 2.37)0.71 (0.30 to 1.66)
By any previous history of disease
 No previous cardiovascular disease1910.71.62 (0.93 to 3.32)1.75 (0.92 to 3.32)0.96 (0.64 to 1.45)1.32 (0.79 to 2.21)0.77 (0.48 to 1.24)
 Previous cardiovascular disease660.60.45 (0.16 to 1.27)0.39 (0.13 to 1.21)0.27 (0.14 to 0.52)0.32 (0.14 to 0.72)0.24 (0.12 to 0.50)
 No previous cardiovascular risk factor‡1020.61.69 (0.77 to 3.74)0.60 (0.14 to 2.62)0.63 (0.33 to 1.20)0.71 (0.31 to 1.65)0.56 (0.24 to 1.29)
 Previous cardiovascular risk factor1550.71.49 (0.76 to 2.94)1.87 (0.93 to 3.76)0.95 (0.57 to 1.58)1.37 (0.74 to 2.53)0.80 (0.46 to 1.37)
 No previous hyperlipidaemia1890.60.93 (0.47 to 1.82)1.47 (0.75 to 2.85)0.73 (0.49 to 1.10)0.97 (0.58 to 1.61)0.62 (0.38 to 1.00)
 Previous hyperlipidaemia680.85.33 (0.69 to 41.14)2.73 (0.32 to 23.14)2.02 (0.27 to 14.82)2.69 (0.35 to 20.89)1.71 (0.23 to 12.95)
 No previous hypertension1390.71.61 (0.86 to 3.01)0.56 (0.19 to 1.68)0.71 (0.42 to 1.18)0.85 (0.45 to 1.61)0.61 (0.33 to 1.11)
 Previous hypertension1180.71.01 (0.43 to 2.36)1.99 (0.93 to 4.28)0.80 (0.45 to 1.41)1.16 (0.58 to 2.32)0.66 (0.36 to 1.22)
 No previous diabetes2180.61.21 (0.69 to 2.12)1.42 (0.76 to 2.61)0.88 (0.60 to 1.28)1.26 (0.79 to 2.03)0.68 (0.44 to 1.06)
 Previous diabetes390.71.10 (0.33 to 3.70)0.71 (0.17 to 2.99)0.29 (0.10 to 0.81)0.29 (0.09 to 0.97)0.29 (0.10 to 0.85)
  • *Adjusted for confounders as shown in table 2.

  • †Incidence rate is calculated for each recency of statin use by dividing the number of events by the person time within each given recency of use.

  • ‡Cardiovascular risk factor included previous hyperlipidaemia, hypertension and diabetes.

  • IR, incidence rate (per 10 000 person-years); SLE, systemic lupus erythematosus.