Table 3

Change in bone area and shape in progressor knees versus being in a reference group of knees having no radiographic and no pain progression (group 4, n=200) (method 1)

Radiographic and pain progressor (group 1, n=194)Pain only progressor (group 2, n=103)Radiographic only progressor (group 3, n=103)
Medial
 Femur2.69 (2.03 to 3.56); <0.00011.13 (0.81 to 1.57); 0.46822.86 (2.09 to 3.92); <0.0001
 Tibia1.84 (1.45 to 2.33); <0.00011.07 (0.81 to 1.43); 0.63262.00 (1.52 to 2.62); <0.0001
 Patella1.57 (1.25 to 1.97); <0.00011.12 (0.86 to 1.45); 0.41321.38 (1.06 to 1.80); 0.0156
Lateral
 Femur1.38 (1.11 to 1.71); 0.00431.06 (0.82 to 1.37); 0.67491.21 (0.94 to 1.56); 0.1421
 Tibia1.79 (1.42 to 2.24); <0.00011.01 (0.77 to 1.33); 0.94261.67 (1.29 to 2.18); 0.0001
 Patella1.67 (1.33 to 2.10); <0.00011.14 (0.87 to 1.48); 0.34031.45 (1.10 to 1.90); 0.0076
 Notch1.59 (1.27 to 1.99); <0.00011.16 (0.88 to 1.51); 0.28841.78 (1.37 to 2.31); <0.0001
Lateral
 Trochlea1.60 (1.29 to 2.00); <0.00010.98 (0.75 to 1.28); 0.90341.39 (1.07 to 1.79); 0.0119
Medial
 Trochlea2.07 (1.61 to 2.67); <0.00011.04 (0.76 to 1.41); 0.81641.99 (1.50 to 2.64); <0.0001
Vector (shape)
 Femur2.34 (1.79 to 3.06); <0.00010.84 (0.59 to 1.20); 0.34082.65 (1.96 to 3.58); <0.0001
 Tibia1.77 (1.41 to 2.22); <0.00010.87 (0.66 to 1.13); 0.29641.71 (1.30 to 2.24); 0.0001
 Patella1.40 (1.12 to 1.75); 0.00301.27 (0.97 to 1.64); 0.07771.30 (1.01 to 1.68); 0.0457
  • ORs (95% CI) and p values for being a progressor knee for a 1 SD greater increase in bone biomarkers, adjusted for baseline joint space width, baseline Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index pain, baseline age, baseline body mass index, baseline Kellgren and Lawrence grade (KLG), baseline pain medication use, sex and race.