The predicted probability of a patients’ SDI state or mortality in 5 years’ time, conditional on their current SDI score
| Current SDI state | Estimated probability of being in SDI state in 5 years’ time | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ≥5 | Death | |
| 0 | 0.655 | 0.198 | 0.086 | 0.030 | 0.006 | 0.002 | 0.022 |
| 1 | 0.360 | 0.341 | 0.192 | 0.055 | 0.026 | 0.027 | |
| 2 | 0.323 | 0.375 | 0.155 | 0.107 | 0.040 | ||
| 3 | 0.354 | 0.264 | 0.310 | 0.072 | |||
| 4 | 0.204 | 0.705 | 0.092 | ||||
| ≥5 | 0.880 | 0.120 | |||||
SDI, Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC)/American College of Rheumatology (ACR) Damage Index.