Unadjusted HR | Adjusted HR: 6 (rituximab 12) months risk window approach | Adjusted HR: Ever exposed approach | Deaths | PYRS | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | p Value | HR | 95% CI | p Value | |||
At baseline | ||||||||||
Male | 1.85 | 1.53 to 2.25 | 1.75 | 1.40 to 2.18 | <0.0001 | 1.72 | 1.38 to 2.14 | <0.0001 | 154 | 6718 |
Age per 5 years | 1.66 | 1.57 to 1.75 | 1.49 | 1.40 to 1.59 | <0.0001 | 1.50 | 1.41 to 1.60 | <0.0001 | 31 378 | |
Diabetes | 3.43 | 2.77 to 4.26 | 1.84 | 1.46 to 2.33 | <0.0001 | 1.85 | 1.46 to 2.33 | <0.0001 | 108 | 2633 |
Chronic lung disease | 3.31 | 2.63 to 4.17 | 1.68 | 1.31 to 2.17 | 0.0003 | 1.71 | 1.32 to 2.20 | 0.0002 | 89 | 2125 |
Chronic renal disease | 4.90 | 3.71 to 6.47 | 1.94 | 1.43 to 2.63 | 0.0001 | 1.92 | 1.41 to 2.61 | 0.0002 | 57 | 926 |
Prior malignancy | 3.15 | 2.27 to 4.37 | 1.26 | 0.88 to 1.80 | 0.20 | 1.27 | 0.89 to 1.81 | 0.18 | 39 | 927 |
Osteoporosis | 2.86 | 2.38 to 3.43 | 1.43 | 1.16 to 1.76 | 0.0015 | 1.41 | 1.15 to 1.73 | 0.0020 | 199 | 6718 |
Coronary heart disease | 4.94 | 4.00 to 6.10 | 1.43 | 1.12 to 1.83 | 0.006 | 1.46 | 1.14 to 1.86 | 0.0036 | 115 | 2017 |
Smoker | 0.82 | 0.62 to 1.07 | 1.37 | 1.02 to 1.85 | 0.038 | 1.36 | 1.01 to 1.83 | 0.042 | 86 | 6936 |
At follow-up | ||||||||||
DAS28* <3.2 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | 42 | 6730 | |||||
DAS28* 3.2–4.1 | 1.81 | 1.21 to 2.71 | 1.15 | 0.76 to 1.74 | 0.49 | 1.11 | 0.74 to 1.68 | 0.59 | 99 | 8875 |
DAS28* >4.1 to 5.1 | 2.29 | 1.57 to 3.33 | 1.17 | 0.78 to 1.75 | 0.43 | 1.08 | 0.72 to 1.61 | 0.70 | 130 | 8773 |
DAS28>5.1 | 4.86 | 3.35 to 7.04 | 1.75 | 1.14 to 2.68 | 0.013 | 1.54 | 1.00 to 2.38 | 0.0499 | 192 | 6999 |
Prednisone most recent 12 months: 0 mg/d | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | 88 | 9036 | |||||
1–5 mg/d | 1.33 | 1.00 to 1.76 | 1.05 | 0.80 to 1.38 | 0.71 | 1.04 | 0.79 to 1.37 | 0.77 | 177 | 13 615 |
>5–10 mg/d | 2.22 | 1.65 to 2.98 | 1.46 | 1.09 to 1.95 | 0.013 | 1.41 | 1.06 to 1.89 | 0.021 | 140 | 7086 |
>10–15 mg/d | 3.95 | 2.61 to 5.98 | 2.00 | 1.29 to 3.11 | 0.0033 | 2.01 | 1.30 to 3.11 | 0.0030 | 37 | 1170 |
>15 mg/d | 6.68 | 4.06 to 11.0 | 3.59 | 2.11 to 6.13 | <0.0001 | 3.43 | 2.01 to 5.86 | <0.0001 | 21 | 448 |
FFbH* in % of full function per 10% improvement | 0.76 | 0.73 to 0.79 | 0.88 | 0.84 to 0.93 | <0.0001 | 0.89 | 0.85 to 0.93 | <0.0001 | 31 378 | |
Methotrexate | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | 96†/78‡ | 7012†/6469‡ | |||||
Other synth. DMARDs | 2.53 | 1.95 to 3.28 | 1.14 | 0.86 to 1.51 | 0.36 | 0.98 | 0.60 to 1.59 | 0.92 | 126†/31‡ | 3513†/1581‡ |
TNFα inhibitors | 0.77 | 0.61 to 0.98 | 0.64 | 0.50 to 0.81 | 0.0007 | NA | 182† | 16 843† | ||
Rituximab | 1.01 | 0.70 to 1.46 | 0.57 | 0.39 to 0.84 | 0.0062 | NA | 36† | 2599† | ||
TNFα inhibitors or rituximab | NA | NA | 0.77 | 0.60 to 0.97 | 0.0312 | 330‡ | 22 370‡ | |||
Other biologics | 1.02 | 0.68 to 1.52 | 0.64 | 0.42 to 0.99 | 0.043 | 0.91 | 0.66 to 1.25 | 0.54 | 25†/51‡ | 1654†/2806‡ |
DAS28>4.1 for > 6 (12) months after discon- tinuation of a biologic without start of a new one | NA | NA | 2.08 | 1.59 to 2.72 | <0.0001 | 86‡ | 1812‡ |
*Average of single DAS28 or FFbH scores between baseline and last time point prior to the event, FFbH: Function questionnaire (see Methods) (range 0–100%).
†Risk window approach.
‡Ever exposed approach.
DMARD, disease modifying antirheumatic drugs; PYRS: patient years; Ref., referent.