Table 3

Longitudinal relationship between disease activity and radiographic damage

 Model with ASDAS continuousModel with ASDAS categoricalModel with BASDAI continuous and CRPModel with BASDAI categorical and CRPModel with Patient global and CRPModel with back pain and CPR
VariableAnalysis in separate models
ß (95% CI)*
(N=174–185)
Multivariable regression 1
ß (95% CI)
(N=183†)
Multivariable regression 2
ß (95% CI)
(N=183†)
Multivariable regression 3
ß (95% CI)
(N=184)
Multivariable
regression 4 ß (95% CI)
(N=184)
Multivariable regression 5
ß (95% CI)
(N=184)
Multivariable regression 6
ß (95% CI)
(N=184)
Previous mSASSS (0–72)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)1.03 (1.01 to 1.05)
ASDAS0.72 (0.41 to 1.04)0.72 (0.41 to 1.04)
ASDAS disease activity states
 Moderate vs inactive (≥1.3 and <2.1 vs <1.3)0.57 (−0.56 to 1.69)0.57 (−0.56 to 1.69)
 High vs inactive (≥2.1 and ≤3.5 vs <1.3)0.91 (−0.17 to 1.99)0.91 (−0.17 to 1.99)
 Very high vs inactive (>3.5 vs <1.3)2.31 (1.11 to 3.51)2.31 (1.11 to 3.51)
BASDAI (0–10)0.24 (0.09 to 0.40)0.21 (0.06 to 0.37)
BASDAI disease activity states
 Moderate vs inactive (≥2 and <4 vs <2)−0.19 (−0.98 to 0.60)−0.29 (−1.09 to 0.52)
 High vs inactive (≥4 and ≤6 vs <2)1.13 (0.30 to 1.97)1.06 (0.21 to 1.90)
 Very high vs inactive (>6 vs <2)1.11 (0.12 to 2.11)0.82 (−0.19 to 1.84)
CRP (mg/L)0.02 (0.01 to 0.04)0.02 (0.00 to 0.04)0.02 (0.01 to 0.04)0.02 (0.00 to 0.04)0.02 (0.00 to 0.04)
ESR (mm/h)0.02 (−0.01 to 0.04)
Patient's global assessment (0–10)0.20 (0.08 to 0.32)0.17 (0.05 to 0.29)
Pain (0–10)0.25 (0.12 to 0.38)0.22 (0.00 to 0.04)
HLA-B27 (positive vs negative)0.47 (−0.47 to 1.41)§§§§§§
Biologics0.25 (−0.94 to 1.44)§§§§§§
DMARDs1.03 (−0.19 to 2.25)§§§§§§
NSAIDs0.58 (−0.10 to 1.26)§§§§§§
NSAID score (0–100)0.00 (−0.01 to 0.01)§§§§§§
Uveitis−0.11 (−0.89 to 0.66)§§§§§§
Inflammatory bowel disease0.26 (−0.81 to 1.33)§§§§§§
Psoriasis−0.25 (−1.68 to 1.18)§§§§§§
Extra-articular manifestation−0.17 (−0.86 to 0.52)§§§§§§
QIC of the model543954585665557956645473
  • *All models are time-lagged (2 years of time lag) and autoregressive (ie, adjusted for mSASSS in the 2 years before). ß reflect progression in mSASSS units over 2 years.

  • †One patient had a missing in one of the items of the ASDAS (BASDAI question 3) and therefore ASDAS could not be calculated.

  • ‡Not included in the model.

  • §Not selected during multivariable regression analysis (p ≥ 0.05).

  • ASDAS, Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score; BASDAI, Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Activity Index; CRP, C-reactive protein; mSASSS, modified Stoke Ankylosing Spondylitis Spine Score; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; DMARDs, disease modifying antirheumatic drugs; NSAIDs, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; QIC, Quasi-likelihood under the Independence model Criterion.