Table 4

Estimated probability for SHS progression ≥3 units in patients in remission, LDA, MDA and HDA

RemissionLDAMDAHDA
Probability (95% CI)Probability (95% CI)Probability (95% CI)Probability (95% CI)
DAS0.10 (0.06 to 0.15)0.18 (0.12 to 0.25)0.31 (0.21 to 0.40)0.59 (0.44 to 0.74)
DAS CRP0.12 (0.07 to 0.18)0.19 (0.13 to 0.26)0.33 (0.23 to 0.43)0.61 (0.46 to 0.76)
DAS280.09 (0.05 to 0.14)0.14 (0.08 to 0.20)0.27 (0.19 to 0.35)0.55 (0.40 to 0.69)
DAS28 CRP0.10 (0.06 to 0.15)0.18 (0.12 to 0.24)0.34 (0.24 to 0.43)0.66 (0.49 to 0.82)
SDAI0.09 (0.03 to 0.14)0.15 (0.10 to 0.20)0.32 (0.23 to 0.41)0.54 (0.40 to 0.68)
CDAI0.09 (0.04 to 0.15)0.15 (0.10 to 0.21)0.34 (0.25 to 0.44)0.50 (0.37 to 0.63)
DAS 0–10.10 (0.05 to 0.15)0.19 (0.12 to 0.25)0.31 (0.22 to 0.40)0.66 (0.51 to 0.81)
DAS TJC530.10 (0.05 to 0.14)0.17 (0.11 to 0.23)0.29 (0.20 to 0.38)0.46 (0.34 to 0.58)
DAS TJC440.09 (0.05 to 0.14)0.18 (0.12 to 0.24)0.31 (0.22 to 0.40)0.47 (0.35 to 0.60)
  • Covariates appearing in the model are fixed at the following values: previous SHS 10.3; year 2.8; treatment group 1; anti-CCP positive; female gender.

  • Anti-CCP, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide; CDAI, Clinical Disease Activity Index; CRP, C reactive protein; DAS, Disease Activity Score; DAS 0–1, Disease Activity Score with RAI 0–1; DAS28, Disease Activity Score in 28 joints; HDA, high disease activity; LDA, low disease activity; MDA, moderate disease activity; SDAI, Simplified Disease Activity Index; SHS, Sharp/van der Heijde score; TJC44, tender joint count 44 joints; TJC53, tender joint count 53 joints.