Table 2

Results for the final multivariate hand model

Explanatory variableOR (95% CI)p Value
Joint-specific activity variablesEWMA1.40 (1.25 to 1.56)*<0.001
PROP1.33 (1.20 to 1.48)*<0.001
Swelling at any visit1.63 (1.35 to 1.97)<0.001
Global activity variableSwelling in the same hand at any of most recent 3 visits1.55 (1.30 to 1.84)<0.001
Damage variablesDamage in the symmetric joint2.24 (1.79 to 2.80)<0.001
Damage in an adjacent joint1.53 (1.22 to 1.91)<0.001
  • * The OR for the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) (an estimated probability) and proportion of visits with activity observed in the joint (PROP) are scaled to represent the effect for an increase of 0.25 on these (0–1) scales.