Table 4

Summarised biomarker performance characteristics

Correlation with disease activityPrediction
Cross-section*Change*Response to therapy**Clinical response†Radiographic progression‡
Synovial tissue biomarkers
 CD3+++++++++
 CD4++
 CD8+++++
 CD68
 Total tissue
 Sublining layer+
 Factor VIII+++++
 VEGF++++
 TGFβ+++++++
 E-selectin+
 IL-1α++++
 IL-1β
 TNFα++
 MMP-1+++
 MMP-3+
 TIMP-1+
Serum biomarkers
 IL-1β++
 sIL-1 RII++
 IL-6++++++++++
 sIL-6 R+
 IL-8++
 IL-18+++
 TNFα+++++
 sTNF RII+
 MMP-1+++++++++++
 MMP-3+++++++
 TIMP-1++++++++++
 MMP-3:TIMP ratio+++++
 COMP+
 Apolipoprotein A1++
Inhibitory assay
 5% serum++
 10% serum+++
  • Scores were assigned according to:

  • * Number of time points with significant correlation;

  • ** Number of time points at which significant change was observed and ability of change to discriminate clinical responders from non-responders;

  • Consistency of early change in measure's ability to predict final American College of Rheumatology 20, 50 and 70 response;

  • Number of subsequent time points at which baseline level correlated with radiographic change and predictive value in receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

  • COMP, cartilage oligomeric matrix protein; MMP, matrix metalloproteinase; sIL-1 RII, serum IL-1 receptor II; sIL-6 R, serum IL-6 receptor; sTNF RII, soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor II; TGFβ, transforming growth factor beta; TIMP, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1; TNFα, tumour necrosis factor alpha; VEGF, vascular endothelial growth factor.