Table 5

Logistic regression models for predicting high and low disease activity states and need for increase in treatment intensity using BASDAI or ASDAS

ResponsePredictorORp ValueAUCN95% CI of AUC
High disease activity based on patient reportBASDAI2.54<0.0010.921940.88 to 0.95
High disease activity based on patient reportASDAS-B6.69<0.0010.901940.85 to 0.94
High disease activity based on patient reportASDAS-C8.39<0.0010.911560.86 to 0.96
High disease activity based on physician reportBASDAI1.53<0.0010.781910.67 to 0.88
High disease activity based on physician reportASDAS-B3.08<0.0010.811910.71 to 0.91
High disease activity based on physician reportASDAS-C2.42<0.0010.771540.64 to 0.91
Change in treatmentBASDAI1.31<0.0010.691930.63 to 0.76
Change in treatmentASDAS-B1.80<0.0010.681930.61 to 0.76
Change in treatmentASDAS-C1.91<0.0010.691550.61 to 0.77
  • For definitions of disease activity states see text.

  • ASDAS, Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score; AUC, area under the curve; BASDAI, Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index.