Table 1

 Occurrence of radiographic knee osteoarthritis in relation to knee pain duration and persistence

Adjusted OR (95% CI)
VariableTotalPatients with ROA,n (%)OR (95% CI)For age and sexFor age, sex and BMI
BMI, body mass index; ROA, radiographic osteoarthritis.
When pain or aching or stiffness in the last month is dichotomised for most/all days with reference to no/few/some, the age-sex-adjusted OR (95% CI) is 1.6 (1.1 to 2.1).
Total duration of symptoms (years)
    <19146 (51)111
    1–5257172 (67)2.0 (1.2 to 3.2)2.2 (1.3 to 3.7)2.0 (1.2 to 3.4)
    5–10150100 (67)2.0 (1.2 to 3.3)1.9 (1.1 to 3.4)1.9 (1.0 to 3.3)
    ⩾10247191 (77)3.3 (2.0 to 5.5)3.2 (1.9 to 5.4)3.0 (1.7 to 5.2)
Last time pain free for a month
    <3 months232153 (66)111
    3–6 months9460 (64)0.9 (0.6 to 1.5)0.9 (0.6 to 1.6)1.1 (0.6 to 1.8)
    7–12 months5731 (54)0.6 (0.3 to 1.1)0.6 (0.3 to 1.1)0.5 (0.3 to 1.0)
    1–2 years6846 (68)1.1 (0.6 to 1.9)1.3 (0.7 to 2.3)1.1 (0.6 to 2.1)
    3–5 years12083 (69)1.2 (0.7 to 1.9)1.2 (0.7 to 2.0)1.1 (0.7 to 1.9)
    6–10 years8360 (72)1.4 (0.8 to 2.3)1.2 (0.7 to 2.2)1.1 (0.6 to 2.0)
    ⩾10 years9176 (84)2.6 (1.4 to 4.9)2.5 (1.3 to 4.7)2.1 (1.1 to 4.1)
Knee pain in the past 12 months
    <7 days5628 (50)111
    1–4 weeks9256 (61)1.6 (0.8 to 3.0)1.8 (0.9 to 3.6)1.8 (0.9 to 3.8)
    1–<3 months10969 (63)1.7 (0.9, 3.3)1.8 (0.9, 3.6)1.9 (0.9 to 3.8)
    ⩾3 months435324 (74)2.9 (1.7 to 5.1)2.7 (1.5 to 5.0)2.7 (1.4 to 4.9)
Days of knee pain in the past 6 months
    1–30352226 (64)111
    31–89192125 (65)1.0 (0.7 to 1.5)1.0 (0.7 to 1.5)0.9 (0.6 to 1.3)
    ⩾90201158 (79)2.1 (1.4 to 3.1)1.9 (1.2 to 2.8)1.6 (1.0 to 2.4)
Pain, aching or stiffness in the past month
    No days3714 (38)111
    Few days176120 (68)3.5 (1.7 to 7.4)4.0 (1.8 to 8.9)3.8 (1.7 to 8.4)
    Some days192123 (64)2.9 (1.4 to 6.1)3.2 (1.5 to 6.9)2.9 (1.3 to 6.3)
    Most days218153 (70)3.9 (1.9 to 8.0)4.1 (1.9 to 8.8)3.5 (1.6 to 7.6)
    All days12299 (81)7.1 (3.2 to 15.8)6.9 (3.0 to 16.1)5.6 (2.4 to 13.2)