Table 6

 Predictive validity of the three definitions for total hip replacement (THR) at follow up (n = 3561)

Total incident THR at follow up*THR/ROA†OR (95% CI)
*Number of incident THR at follow up predicted by each definition/number ROA cases at baseline, as defined by each definition of hip ROA.
†Number of cases of THR predicted by each definition/number of ROA cases defined by each definition.
CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; ROA, radiological osteoarthritis.
Kellgren and Lawrence (⩾grade 2)
    Right5733/154 (21.4)30.6 (17.5 to 53.5)
    Left4222/110 (20.0)34.3 (18.1 to 65.2)
MJS (⩽2.5 mm)
    Right5726/151 (17.2)18.6 (10.7 to 32.3)
    Left4219/123 (15.4)22.6 (11.8 to 43.0)
Croft grade (⩾grade 3)
    Right5746/673 (6.8)16.0 (8.0 to 31.8)
    Left4228/717 (3.9)6.7 (3.4 to 12.9)