Article Text

Download PDFPDF
Concise report
Predictive factors of hand radiographic lesions in systemic sclerosis: a prospective study
  1. J Avouac1,
  2. G Mogavero2,
  3. H Guerini3,
  4. J L Drapé3,
  5. A Mathieu2,
  6. A Kahan1,
  7. Y Allanore1
  1. 1Department of Rheumatology A, Paris Descartes University, Cochin Hospital, APHP, Paris, France
  2. 22nd Chair of Rheumatology, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy
  3. 3Department of Radiology B, Paris Descartes University, Cochin Hospital, APHP, Paris, France
  1. Correspondence to Pr Allanore Yannick, Hôpital Cochin, Service de rhumatologie A, 27 rue du faubourg Saint Jacques, 75014 Paris, France; yannick.allanore{at}


Objective To examine the outcomes of hand radiographic x-rays in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) and to identify risk factors for the progression of hand radiographic lesions in a prospective cohort.

Methods Dual time-point x-rays were systematically performed after a median interval of 5 years (range 4–7 years) in 103 consecutively recruited patients with SSc. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models evaluated predictors of progression of hand radiographic lesions.

Results Radiographic progression of erosive arthritis, acro-osteolysis, calcinosis and flexion contracture occurred in 24, 22, 27 and 18 patients, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis did not identify any predictor of the progression of erosive arthritis. Digital ulcers were shown independently to predict the progression of acro-osteolysis and calcinosis (HR 12.43, 95% CI 1.97 to 88.40 and 3.16, 95% CI 1.22% to 9.43%, respectively). The diffuse cutaneous subset was shown to be an independent predictor of the progression of flexion contracture (HR 7.52, 95% CI 1.21 to 43.93).

Conclusion The results highlight the striking level of hand radiographic lesions in SSc and suggest close monitoring of patients with the diffuse cutaneous subset for the occurrence or worsening of this complication. The results also show that severe peripheral vascular involvement predicts both acro-osteolysis and calcinosis, highlighting their vascular background.

Statistics from

Request Permissions

If you wish to reuse any or all of this article please use the link below which will take you to the Copyright Clearance Center’s RightsLink service. You will be able to get a quick price and instant permission to reuse the content in many different ways.


  • Competing interests None.

  • Ethics approval This study was conducted with the approval of the local ethics committee from Paris/Cochin.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.