HOPKINS LUPUS COHORT: 1999 Update

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EPIDEMIOLOGY OF LUPUS

The natural history of lupus has changed dramatically since the 1970s not only because of better treatments for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) but because of better supportive measures, including antibiotics, better management of coronary artery disease, renal dialysis, and renal transplantation. Lupus seems to have increased in its incidence and prevalence since the 1970s. In a landmark study done in Rochester, Minnesota, Uramoto et al36 found that the incidence of lupus has tripled in the

ENVIRONMENTAL TRIGGERS OF LUPUS

The remarkable increase in the incidence of SLE found in the Rochester, Minnesota study cannot be attributed to a change in the genetic background of the population. The author postulates that environmental triggers are increasing the incidence of SLE. The author examined several of these environmental triggers using nested case-control studies within the Hopkins Lupus Cohort. One of the first environmental triggers examined was hair dyes. Earlier studies had suggested that hair dyes might be a

DISEASE ACTIVITY

The Hopkins Lupus Cohort was the setting for the author's initial study of flare in SLE. The author defined flare using the Physician's Global Assessment as a gold standard. The Physician's Global Assessment has been part of the Hopkins Lupus Cohort assessments since the beginning of the cohort. On this 0 to 3 visual analog scale, a flare was defined as a change of 1.0 or greater happening within the last 3 months. The author picked 3 months simply for convenience, because most of the follow-up

EVOLUTION OF LUPUS

In addition to the fact that the majority of patients with SLE continue to have disease activity in either the flare or chronic active pattern, most patients with SLE show evolution of their lupus into new organ systems as time passes.25 This is different from the progression of SLE found in Europe as reported by Swaak et al,33 who rarely found that there was any evolution into new organ systems after 5 years of established disease. The author found the progression of lupus to occur in every

Raynaud's Phenomenon

Raynaud's phenomenon, although common in SLE, is not specific and is no longer included in the ACR classification criteria. The author investigated whether Raynaud's phenomenon was associated with SLE manifestations or with the later course of the disease. The author found that Raynaud's phenomenon was commonly associated with other cutaneous manifestations of lupus, including malar rash, discoid lupus, mouth ulcers, and alopecia. In addition, and surprisingly, Raynaud's phenomenon was

DAMAGE

There is consensus internationally that the ACR/SLICC Damage Index is the best instrument to measure damage in organ systems after the diagnosis of lupus. Musculoskeletal damage heads the list in our cohort, with 25% of patients with SLE affected. The musculoskeletal damage includes both avascular necrosis and osteoporosis with fractures. Overall, patients who have died have three or more organ systems damaged as opposed to patients who are living. Of our living patients, on average, 50% have

HEALTH STATUS

Multiple groups have used either the 20-item or 36-item Short-Form Health Survey38 to measure health status in patients with SLE. In general, the health status of patients with SLE using these instruments is poor. It is surprising that health status does not seem to be highly concordant with either disease activity or disease damage. There appear to be other predictors of health status.

The author has been interested in the high frequency of fibromyalgia that was found in the lupus cohort. Of

CONCLUSIONS

It is necessary to examine three domains—disease activity, damage and health status—to adequately describe SLE. Longitudinal cohort studies such as the Hopkins Lupus Cohort can address all three of these domains. Obviously, any single cohort cannot adequately or definitively answer all issues because of the differences in race, education, and other socioeconomic status variables between cohorts. Cohort studies that include well-characterized patients followed frequently over time can help in

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    Address reprint requests to Michelle Petri, MD, MPH, Hopkins Lupus Cohort, 1830 East Monument Street, Suite 7500, Baltimore, MD 21205, e-mail: [email protected]

    The Hopkins Lupus Cohort is supported by NIAMS AR 43727 and the Outpatient General Clinical Research Center RR 00052.

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    Hopkins Lupus Cohort, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland

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