Baseline US osteophytesIncident OA features at follow-up, n (%)OR (95% CI)
CrudeAdjusted
Kellgren-Lawrence
 Grade 0 (n=215)37 (17.2)1.01.0
 Grade 1–3 (n=86)40 (46.5)2.9 (1.6–5.4)4.1 (2.0–8.1)
Radiographic joint space narrowing
 Grade 0 (n=215)9 (4.2)1.01.0
 Grade 1–3 (n=86)15 (17.4)4.2 (1.8–10.2)5.3 (2.1–13.4)
Radiographic osteophytes
 Grade 0 (n=215)28 (13.0)1.01.0
 Grade 1–3 (n=86)31 (36.0)2.9 (1.6–5.4)4.2 (2.1–8.5)
Tenderness
 Grade 0 (n=190)31 (16.3)1.01.0
 Grade 1–3 (n=62)19 (30.6)1.5 (0.9–2.7)1.9 (1.1–3.3)