Table 4

Sensitivity analyses: estimates for csDMARD comedication from multivariable Cox regression models

ASuSpAPooled group AS and uSpA
HR (95% CI)p ValueHR (95% CI)p ValueHR (95% CI)p Value
Main analyses (see table 3 for full models AS and uSpA)0.71 (0.59 to 0.85)<0.0010.82 (0.69 to 0.97)0.020
Time-varying csDMARD covariate0.61 (0.51 to 0.74)<0.0010.81 (0.69 to 0.96)0.017
Alternative csDMARD categories0.0010.034
 MTX vs none0.74 (0.61 to 0.91)0.0040.79 (0.66 to 0.94)0.010
 Other vs none0.59 (0.41 to 0.83)0.0020.94 (0.71 to 1.26)0.691
Exclusion of patients with swollen joints at baseline*0.76 (0.66 to 0.89)<0.001
csDMARD groups†<0.0010.017
 csDMARD starters vs non-users0.72 (0.52 to 1.01)0.0580.71 (0.49 to 1.01)0.058
 csDMARD continued users vs non-users0.50 (0.38 to 0.64)<0.0010.75 (0.59 to 0.95)0.018
 csDMARD stoppers vs non-users0.65 (0.48 to 0.89)0.0061.05 (0.80 to 1.39)0.716
csDMARD groups‡<0.001
 csDMARD starters vs non-users0.65 (0.50 to 0.85)0.002
 csDMARD continued users vs non-users0.62 (0.51 to 0.76)<0.001
 csDMARD stoppers vs non-users0.79 (0.63 to 1.00)0.049
  • The additional covariates in the models were as follows: age, sex, TNFi type, start year, hospital days, outpatient visits, disposable income, education.

  • *N=1839 (AS N=1105, 81.0% of total, 398 patients with and 707 patients without csDMARD comedication; uSpA N=734, 63.5% of total, 311 patients with and 423 patients without csDMARD comedication).

  • †Patients starting TNFi after 1 January 2006: AS N=1049 (csDMARD ‘starters’ n=108, ‘continued users’ n=288, ‘stoppers’ n=148, ‘non-users’ n=505); uSpA N=853 (csDMARD ‘starters’ n=90, ‘continued users’ n=325, ‘stoppers’ n=152, ‘non-users’ n=286). Information on csDMARD use for these analyses was retrieved from the Prescribed Drugs Register.

  • ‡Patients starting TNFi after 1 January 2006, excluding patients with swollen joints at baseline: N=1448 (csDMARD ‘starters’ n=168, ‘continued users’ n=390, ‘stoppers’ n=224, ‘non-users’ n=666). Information on csDMARD use for this analysis was retrieved from the Prescribed Drugs Register.

  • AS, ankylosing spondylitis; csDMARD, conventional synthetic disease modifying antirheumatic drug; MTX, methotrexate; uSpA, undifferentiated spondyloarthritis.