Table 1.

multivariate analysis modelling the risk of disability status at 5 years

Patients not in disability at 5 yearsPatients in disability at 5 yearsModel aModel bModel c
n=275n=56OR [95% CI]OR [95% CI]OR [95% CI]
Baseline factors
 Age (mean)45.049.11.05 [1.00; 1.09]1.04 [1.00; 1.09]NS
 Ever smoker (%)47.366.12.36 [1.21; 4.59]3.14 [1.54; 6.39]2.34 [1.19; 4.59]
 Higher education (%)34.58.90.32 [0.12; 0.90]0.28 [0.10; 0.78]0.28 [0.10; 0.77]
 DAS28 (mean)4.955.79NS1.36 [1.02; 1.82]NS
 SF-36 MCS score (mean)40.933.80.94 [0.91; 0.97]0.95 [0.92; 0.99]0.95 [0.92; 0.98]
 SF-36 PCS score (mean)37.932.90.94 [0.90; 0.98]NS0.94 [0.90; 0.98]
Low disease activity during the first year of follow up
 At least 1 DAS28 <3.2 (%)61.039.00.17 [0.08; 0.33]
 2 DAS28 <3.2 (%)76.435.70.17 [0.06; 0.45]