Table 3

Baseline predictors of discontinuing treatment with tumour necrosis factor α inhibitors

Unadjusted analysisAdjusted analysisFinal model after backwards selection
HRp ValueHRp ValueHRp Value
SexMan111
Woman1.96 (1.55 to 2.45)<0.00011.46 (1.06 to 2.01)0.021.46 (1.07 to 2.00)0.02
BASDAI (cm)1.12 (1.05 to 1.20)0.0010.97 (0.86 to 1.10)0.64
BASFI (cm)1.10 (1.04 to 1.17)0.0021.06 (0.97 to 1.16)0.17
VAS fatigue (cm)1.15 (1.08 to 1.23)<0.0011.13 (1.03 to 1.24)0.0091.14 (1.06 to 1.22)<0.001
VAS pain (cm)1.07 (1.01 to 1.13)0.02
VAS global (cm)1.07 (1.01 to 1.13)0.03
CRP≤14 mg/l1.70 (1.33 to 2.12)<0.00011.53 (1.13 to 2.07)0.0061.53 (1.14 to 2.05)0.05
>14 mg/l111
Methotrexate useUsed11
Not used1.17 (0.93 to 1.47)0.181.35 (0.98 to 1.86)0.07
Biological treatmentInfliximab11
Adalimumab0.86 (0.66 to 1.13)0.290.73 (0.49 to 1.10)0.13
Etanercept0.77 (0.57 to 1.05)0.090.71 (0.48 to 1.06)0.09
Age (years)1.01 (1.00 to 1.02)0.051.01 (0.99 to 1.02)0.41
  • Numbers in brackets are 95% CI.

  • Results from multiple Cox regression analysis (n=842).

  • BASDAI, Bath ankylosing spondylitis disease activity index; BASFI, function index; CRP, C-reactive protein.