A. Synovial thickness ⩾4 mm and diffuse or nodular appearance or effusion depth ⩾4 mm | | 1.39 | Maximum radiographic grade* ⩾3 | 1.95 (1.36 to 2.81) |
| Knee joint effusion on clinical examination† | 3.11 (2.03 to 4.77) |
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B. Synovial thickness ⩾2 mm and diffuse appearance or synovial thickness ⩾4 mm and nodular appearance | | 1.57 | Maximum radiographic grade ⩾3 | 2.46 (1.65 to 3.68) |
| Knee joint effusion on clinical examination | 1.96 (1.28 to 2.98) |
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C. Synovial thickness ⩾2 mm and diffuse appearance or synovial thickness ⩾4 mm and nodular appearance or effusion depth ⩾4 mm | | 1.44 | Maximum radiographic grade ⩾3 | 2.12 (1.47 to 3.05) |
| Knee joint effusion on clinical examination | 3.4 (2.18 to 5.26) |