Table 3

 Relation between tertiles of tibial cartilage loss between time 0 and 2 years and incidence of knee replacement at year 4

Number knee replacements (%)ORAdjusted OR (95% CI)*†
*Multivariable logistic regression adjusting for age, gender, BMI, % tibial cartilage loss, WOMAC score and bone size.
†p = 0.02 for trend.
CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
Rate of tibial cartilage loss <3% per annum (n =  37)3 (8.1)11
Rate of tibial cartilage loss 3–8% per annum (n = 40)7 (17.5)2.42.3 (0.4 to 12.2)
Rate of tibial cartilage loss >8% per annum (n = 36)8 (22.2)3.27.1 (1.4 to 36.5)