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Ann Rheum Dis 69:186-192 doi:10.1136/ard.2009.115832
  • Clinical and epidemiological research

The time has come to limit the placebo period in rheumatoid arthritis trials to 3 months: a systematic comparison of 3- and 6-month response rates in trials of biological agents

Table 2

Pooled response rates; contrasts between treatment groups for placebo and active control trials expressed as risk ratios at 3 and 6 months; and the contrast (ratio of risk ratios) between 6 and 3 months.

Response rate Risk ratio*Mean (95% CI) p Value
Control Experimental
Placebo control
ACR20
    3 Months 0.26 0.55 2.1 (1.9 to 2.3) <0.001
        DMARD-IR† 0.28 0.57 2.0 (1.8 to 2.3) <0.001
        TNF-IR‡ 0.18 0.47 2.6 (2.1 to 3.3) <0.001
    6 Months 0.28 0.59 2.3 (1.9 to 2.8) <0.001
        DMARD-IR 0.30 0.61 2.1 (1.8 to 2.5) <0.001
        TNF-IR 0.14 0.51 3.6 (2.1 to 6.2) <0.001
    6 vs 3 Months 1.1 (1.0 to 1.2) 0.13
        DMARD-IR 1.0 (0.9 to 1.2) 0.36
        TNF-IR 1.4 (1.0 to 2.0) 0.08
ACR50
    3 Months 0.07 0.28 3.8 (3.3 to 4.4) <0.001
        DMARD-IR 0.07 0.29 3.7 (3.2 to 4.4) <0.001
        TNF-IR 0.05 0.23 4.5 (2.1 to 9.5) <0.001
    6 Months 0.10 0.36 3.6 (3.1 to 4.3) <0.001
        DMARD-IR 0.10 0.37 3.4 (2.9 to 4.0) <0.001
        TNF-IR 0.04 0.28 6.1 (3.7 to 10.1) <0.001
    6 vs 3 Months 0.9 (0.8 to 1.1) 0.42
        DMARD-IR 0.9 (0.8 to 1.0) 0.12
        TNF-IR 1.4 (0.9 to 2.0) 0.14
ACR70
    3 Months 0.02 0.11 4.1 (3.1 to 5.3) <0.001
        DMARD-IR 0.02 0.11 4.4 (3.3 to 5.8) <0.001
        TNF-IR 0.02 0.07 5.2 (0.3 to 95.4) 0.27
    6 Months 0.03 0.18 5.8 (4.5 to 7.4) <0.001
        DMARD-IR 0.03 0.18 5.6 (4.3 to 7.3) <0.001
        TNF-IR 0.01 0.12 10.6 (3.9 to 29.2) <0.001
    6 vs 3 Months 1.4 (1.1 to 2.0) 0.02
        DMARD-IR 1.4 (1.1 to 1.7) 0.001
        TNF-IR 1.6 (0.1 to 29.3) 0.75
Active control
ACR20
    3 Months 0.53 0.59 1.1 (1.1 to 1.2) <0.001
    6 Months 0.56 0.62 1.1 (1.0 to 1.2) 0.003
    6 v 3 Months 1.0 (1.0 to 1.0) 0.30
ACR50
    3 Months 0.24 0.31 1.3 (1.1 to 1.4) <0.001
    6 Months 0.32 0.39 1.2 (1.1 to 1.3) <0.001
    6 v 3 Months 0.9 (0.9 to 1.0) 0.02
ACR70
    3 Months 0.08 0.12 1.5 (1.1 to 1.8) 0.002
    6 Months 0.15 0.21 1.4 (1.3 to 1.6) <0.001
    6 v 3 Months 1.0 (0.9 to 1.0) 0.40
  • *Risk ratio, the risk of a response in the experimental group versus that in the control group; and the ratio of risk ratios at 6 versus 3 months. Results >1 indicate a greater contrast between the treatment groups at 6 months. †DMARD-IR, patients with an incomplete response to disease-modifying drugs. ‡TNF-IR, patients with an incomplete response to anti-tumour necrosis factor agents.

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